Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vanløse · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vanløse 1-0 Ishøj
Original prediction
Vanløse
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 52.8% | 66.0% | 13.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.8% | 18.6% | -5.2 pts |
| Away | 3.85 | 23.4% | 15.4% | -8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Vanløse
Probability
66.0%
Model confidence
66.0%
Vanløse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VanløseWWDWW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
IshøjLLLLL
GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
VanløseIshøj
66.7Attack5.6
61.1Defence27.8
61.1Form5.6
63.7Power17.5
2.82xG0.77