Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hillerød · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vanløse 2-1 Hillerød
Original prediction
Hillerød
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.03 | 17.9% | 35.5% | 17.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.09 | 22.1% | 23.8% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.50 | 60.0% | 40.7% | -19.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Hillerød
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Hillerød has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VanløseWDWWL
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HillerødDWWLD
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
VanløseHillerød
100.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
91.7Power92.0
2.39xG2.05