Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vanløse · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Vanløse are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Avarta are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vanløse hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.6% in the 3. Division, while Vanløse holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vanløse
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
Vanløse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40