Vancouver Whitecapsvs
San Jose Earthquakes
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 3/22/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Vancouver Whitecaps are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while San Jose Earthquakes are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver Whitecaps hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (68.4 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.1% in the Major League Soccer, while Vancouver Whitecaps holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vancouver Whitecaps
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
59.1%
Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20