GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/5/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Vancouver Whitecaps are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Portland Timbers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver Whitecaps hold a 20.0-point power-rating edge (68.4 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.5% in the Major League Soccer, while Vancouver Whitecaps holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vancouver Whitecaps

Probability

73.5%

Model confidence

73.5%

Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vancouver WhitecapsLWWWW

GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Portland TimbersDLLLW

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Vancouver WhitecapsPortland Timbers
74.5Attack61.1
66.7Defence38.9
66.7Form44.4
68.4Power48.4
3.13xG1.06
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