Vancouver Whitecapsvs
New York City FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 4/11/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Vancouver Whitecaps are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while New York City FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver Whitecaps hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (68.4 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the Major League Soccer, while Vancouver Whitecaps holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vancouver Whitecaps
Probability
63.3%
Model confidence
10.1%
Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20