Vancouver Whitecapsvs
CF Montreal
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Championship · 9/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 CF Montreal
Original prediction
Vancouver Whitecaps
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 68.7% | 43.2% | -25.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.54 | 19.9% | 24.7% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 7.88 | 11.5% | 32.1% | 20.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Vancouver Whitecaps
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60