GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Championship · 6/8/2023, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CF Montreal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Vancouver Whitecaps are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while CF Montreal are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and CF Montreal hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (71.2 v 90.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Canadian Championship, while CF Montreal holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CF Montreal

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

CF Montreal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vancouver WhitecapsDWLWW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CF MontrealLDWWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Vancouver WhitecapsCF Montreal
83.3Attack100.0
66.7Defence77.8
66.7Form100.0
71.2Power90.7
1.59xG1.76
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