GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/24/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Monarchs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Vancouver Whitecaps II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Real Monarchs are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Monarchs hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the MLS Next Pro, while Real Monarchs holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Monarchs

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

9.3%

Real Monarchs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vancouver Whitecaps IILLLDL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Real MonarchsWDLLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Vancouver Whitecaps IIReal Monarchs
42.4Attack47.0
25.8Defence36.4
24.2Form33.3
33.8Power40.0
1.74xG2.00
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