Vancouver FCvs
York United
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 9/24/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vancouver FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vancouver FC 3-3 York United
Original prediction
Vancouver FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 35.8% | 56.5% | 20.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 24.7% | 20.4% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 39.5% | 23.2% | -16.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.61 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Vancouver FC
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Vancouver FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20