GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 10/7/2023, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vancouver FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Vancouver FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while York 9 FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver FC hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 35.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.1% in the Canadian Premier League, while Vancouver FC holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vancouver FC

Probability

75.1%

Model confidence

75.1%

Vancouver FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vancouver FCWWWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
York 9 FCWLLLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vancouver FCYork 9 FC
51.0Attack38.1
66.7Defence26.2
52.9Form33.3
57.2Power35.0
2.57xG0.66
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