GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 7/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vancouver FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Vancouver FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while York 9 FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver FC hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 35.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Canadian Premier League, while Vancouver FC holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vancouver FC

Probability

76.9%

Model confidence

13.8%

Vancouver FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vancouver FCLWWLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
York 9 FCLLLDW

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Vancouver FCYork 9 FC
51.0Attack38.1
66.7Defence26.2
52.9Form33.3
57.2Power35.0
2.57xG0.66
View match centre →