GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 9/7/2024, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vancouver FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Vancouver FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while York 9 FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver FC hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 35.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.1% in the Canadian Premier League, while Vancouver FC holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vancouver FC

Probability

75.1%

Model confidence

75.1%

Vancouver FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vancouver FCLWLWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
York 9 FCLDLWD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Vancouver FCYork 9 FC
51.0Attack38.1
66.7Defence26.2
52.9Form33.3
57.2Power35.0
2.57xG0.66
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