GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 5/29/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vancouver FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Vancouver FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Valour are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver FC hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 40.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.1% in the Canadian Premier League, while Vancouver FC holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vancouver FC

Probability

59.1%

Model confidence

59.1%

Vancouver FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vancouver FCDLDDW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ValourDLDDD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Vancouver FCValour
51.0Attack29.8
66.7Defence54.8
52.9Form31.0
57.2Power40.8
1.56xG0.52
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