GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 4/14/2024, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vancouver FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Vancouver FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Valour are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver FC hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 40.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.1% in the Canadian Premier League, while Vancouver FC holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vancouver FC

Probability

59.1%

Model confidence

59.1%

Vancouver FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vancouver FCLWWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ValourLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Vancouver FCValour
51.0Attack29.8
66.7Defence54.8
52.9Form31.0
57.2Power40.8
1.56xG0.52
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