GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 9/23/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vancouver FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Vancouver FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while HFX Wanderers FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver FC hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.1% in the Canadian Premier League, while Vancouver FC holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vancouver FC

Probability

58.1%

Model confidence

58.1%

Vancouver FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vancouver FCWLWLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HFX Wanderers FCWLDLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Vancouver FCHFX Wanderers FC
51.0Attack41.2
66.7Defence49.0
52.9Form33.3
57.2Power43.3
1.75xG0.72
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