Vancouver FCvs
HFX Wanderers FC
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vancouver FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vancouver FC 2-1 HFX Wanderers FC
Original prediction
Vancouver FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 46.0% | 48.3% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.0% | 23.2% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 28.0% | 28.5% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.98 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Vancouver FC
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Vancouver FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40