GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 4/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vancouver FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Vancouver FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while HFX Wanderers FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver FC hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the Canadian Premier League, while Vancouver FC holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vancouver FC

Probability

60.5%

Model confidence

13.9%

Vancouver FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vancouver FCDDDLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
HFX Wanderers FCDDLWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Vancouver FCHFX Wanderers FC
51.0Attack41.2
66.7Defence49.0
52.9Form33.3
57.2Power43.3
1.75xG0.72
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