GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 4/19/2024, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vancouver FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Vancouver FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while HFX Wanderers FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver FC hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.1% in the Canadian Premier League, while Vancouver FC holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vancouver FC

Probability

58.1%

Model confidence

58.1%

Vancouver FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vancouver FCWLWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HFX Wanderers FCLLWWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Vancouver FCHFX Wanderers FC
51.0Attack41.2
66.7Defence49.0
52.9Form33.3
57.2Power43.3
1.75xG0.72
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