Vancouver FCvs
Forge
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 9/26/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forge · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Vancouver FC 0-1 Forge, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Vancouver FC 1-1 Forge
Original prediction
Forge
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.40 | 26.5% | 23.4% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.8% | 26.9% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 1.93 | 46.7% | 49.7% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Projected Score
Vancouver FC 0–1 Forge
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Forge
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Vancouver FCDDLWL
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ForgeDWWDD
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Vancouver FCForge
47.2Attack50.0
55.6Defence75.8
44.4Form69.7
49.9Power67.0
0.77xG1.29