GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 8/23/2025, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Vancouver FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Forge are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 71.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Canadian Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vancouver FCLWLWL

GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
ForgeWDWWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Vancouver FCForge
51.0Attack51.1
66.7Defence80.0
52.9Form77.8
57.2Power71.8
0.83xG0.98
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