GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 8/18/2024, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Vancouver FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Forge are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 71.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Canadian Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vancouver FCWLLDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ForgeWWLWD

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Vancouver FCForge
51.0Attack51.1
66.7Defence80.0
52.9Form77.8
57.2Power71.8
0.83xG0.98
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