GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 7/22/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cavalry FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Vancouver FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cavalry FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cavalry FC hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 71.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Canadian Premier League, while Cavalry FC holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cavalry FC

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Cavalry FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vancouver FCLWLLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cavalry FCWLWWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Vancouver FCCavalry FC
51.0Attack64.6
66.7Defence81.3
52.9Form70.8
57.2Power71.4
0.83xG1.23
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