GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 5/7/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cavalry FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Vancouver FC are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DWLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cavalry FC are 0W-4D-0L in their last 4 (DDDD), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Cavalry FC hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 71.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Canadian Premier League, while Cavalry FC holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cavalry FC

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Cavalry FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vancouver FCDWLL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.75/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
Cavalry FCDDDD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.25/1.25

BTTS 4/4O2.5 1/4
Vancouver FCCavalry FC
51.0Attack64.6
66.7Defence81.3
52.9Form70.8
57.2Power71.4
0.83xG1.23
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