GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 5/14/2023, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vancouver FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Vancouver FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atlético Ottawa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver FC hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.7% in the Canadian Premier League, while Vancouver FC holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vancouver FC

Probability

58.7%

Model confidence

58.7%

Vancouver FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vancouver FCDDWLL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Atlético OttawaDLLDW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Vancouver FCAtlético Ottawa
51.0Attack52.1
66.7Defence39.6
52.9Form50.0
57.2Power49.6
2.02xG0.94
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