Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Van · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Syunik are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Van are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 13.2 against 14.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the Premier League, while Syunik holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Van
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
12.3%
Van has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00