Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shirak · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Van are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Shirak are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shirak hold a 37.0-point power-rating edge (14.2 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Premier League, while Shirak holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shirak
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Shirak has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60