Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gandzasar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Van are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gandzasar are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gandzasar hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (44.7 v 75.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Gandzasar holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gandzasar
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
9.6%
Gandzasar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80