Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BKMA · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Van 2-1 BKMA
Original prediction
BKMA
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.39 | 26.8% | 25.2% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.5% | 26.0% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 47.7% | 48.8% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
BKMA
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
BKMA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VanLLDLL
GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.20/2.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
BKMAWWLLL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
VanBKMA
11.1Attack33.3
0.0Defence61.1
5.6Form38.9
12.3Power45.4
0.90xG1.62