UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League
Thursday, 23 July 2026Last updated 10:10
Valur Reykjavik

Valur Reykjavik

Home
LL
10
Full time
Zrinjski

Zrinjski

Away
DD
Hlídarendi Reykjavik
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
Valur Reykjavik(38%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Valur Reykjavik
38%
Draw
27%
Zrinjski
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Valur Reykjavik
9
Zrinjski
18
Defence
Valur Reykjavik
46
Zrinjski
82
Momentum
Valur Reykjavik
0
Zrinjski
33
Danger (xG)
Valur Reykjavik
0.00
Zrinjski
0.45
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Valur Reykjavik)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Zrinjski)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Valur Reykjavik)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Zrinjski)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik
LLWD
ZrinjskiZrinjski
DD

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Valur Reykjavik38%
Draw27%
Zrinjski35%

Valur Reykjavik leads with 38% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Valur Reykjavik head into this in UEFA Europa Conference League fixture at Hlídarendi Reykjavik in mixed form (LL), while Zrinjski arrive in mixed form (DD). Valur Reykjavik have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Zrinjski over 2 games.

The model rates Valur Reykjavik's attack at 9/100 against a 82/100 Zrinjski defence, and Zrinjski's attack at 18/100 against a 46/100 Valur Reykjavik backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Valur Reykjavik have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Zrinjski have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Valur Reykjavik and Zrinjski in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Valur Reykjavik to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Valur Reykjavik 3829%, Draw 2670%, Zrinjski 3501%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Valur Reykjavik

Valur Reykjavik

L
@ FH hafnarfjordur
12 Jul 2026
02
L
@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar
4 Jul 2026
01
W
@ Thor Akureyri
28 Jun 2026
42
D
vs Keflavik
21 Jun 2026
11
Zrinjski

Zrinjski

D
vs Posušje
16 May 2026
00
D
@ Velež
13 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Valur Reykjavik vs Zrinjski?

GoalVio's model predicts Valur Reykjavik to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Valur Reykjavik vs Zrinjski?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Valur Reykjavik vs Zrinjski?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Valur Reykjavik vs Zrinjski?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more