GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 5/2/2026, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

KR Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Lowconfidence

Valur Reykjavik are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while KR Reykjavik are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and KR Reykjavik hold a 21.5-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 66.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.7% in the Úrvalsdeild, while KR Reykjavik holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 89% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

KR Reykjavik

Probability

53.0%

Model confidence

6.7%

KR Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Valur ReykjavikWWWLL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
KR ReykjavikWWWWW

GF 23 · GA 9 · avg 4.60/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Valur ReykjavikKR Reykjavik
57.4Attack100.0
33.3Defence27.8
40.7Form72.2
45.3Power66.8
2.57xG3.58
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