ÚrvalsdeildÚrvalsdeild
Sunday, 21 June 2026Last updated 12:39
Valur Reykjavik

Valur Reykjavik

Home
LL
11
Full time
Keflavik

Keflavik

Away
LD
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Valur Reykjavik(44%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Valur Reykjavik
44%
Draw
24%
Keflavik
32%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Valur Reykjavik
9
Keflavik
34
Defence
Valur Reykjavik
46
Keflavik
46
Momentum
Valur Reykjavik
0
Keflavik
17
Danger (xG)
Valur Reykjavik
0.00
Keflavik
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Valur Reykjavik)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Keflavik)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Valur Reykjavik)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Keflavik)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik
LLWD
KeflavikKeflavik
LDD

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Valur Reykjavik44%
Draw24%
Keflavik32%

Valur Reykjavik leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Valur Reykjavik head into this in Úrvalsdeild fixture in mixed form (LL), while Keflavik arrive in mixed form (LD). Valur Reykjavik have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Keflavik over 2 games.

The model rates Valur Reykjavik's attack at 9/100 against a 46/100 Keflavik defence, and Keflavik's attack at 34/100 against a 46/100 Valur Reykjavik backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Valur Reykjavik have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Keflavik have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Valur Reykjavik to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Valur Reykjavik 4430%, Draw 2350%, Keflavik 3220%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Valur Reykjavik 0Draws 10 Keflavik
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
21 Jun 2026
Valur Reykjavik
D11
Keflavik

Recent form

Valur Reykjavik

Valur Reykjavik

L
@ FH hafnarfjordur
12 Jul 2026
02
L
@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar
4 Jul 2026
01
W
@ Thor Akureyri
28 Jun 2026
42
D
vs Keflavik
21 Jun 2026
11
Keflavik

Keflavik

L
@ Breidablik
13 Jul 2026
12
D
vs Fram Reykjavik
6 Jul 2026
11
D
@ Valur Reykjavik
21 Jun 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Valur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

GoalVio's model predicts Valur Reykjavik to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Valur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Valur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Valur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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