Valur Reykjavikvs
IA Akranes
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 8/30/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valur Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Valur Reykjavik 2-2 IA Akranes
Original prediction
Valur Reykjavik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.7% | 42.5% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.3% | 19.3% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 38.0% | 38.3% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
Valur Reykjavik
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Valur Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00