GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 4/23/2026, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Valur Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Valur Reykjavik are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while FH hafnarfjordur are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Valur Reykjavik hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Úrvalsdeild, while Valur Reykjavik holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Valur Reykjavik

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Valur Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Valur ReykjavikWLLDW

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FH hafnarfjordurLDDLD

GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Valur ReykjavikFH hafnarfjordur
57.4Attack40.7
33.3Defence40.7
40.7Form31.5
45.3Power39.9
2.30xG1.51
View match centre →