GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 4/16/2023, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Breidablik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Valur Reykjavik are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Breidablik are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Breidablik hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 56.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Úrvalsdeild, while Breidablik holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Breidablik

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

Breidablik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Valur ReykjavikW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
BreidablikLLLW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 4/4
Valur ReykjavikBreidablik
57.4Attack66.7
33.3Defence44.4
40.7Form53.7
45.3Power56.0
2.05xG2.59
View match centre →