Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valour · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Valour are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while York 9 FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Valour hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 35.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Canadian Premier League, while Valour holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Valour
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Valour has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80