Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valour · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Valour are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while York 9 FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Valour hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 35.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Canadian Premier League, while Valour holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Valour
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Valour has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80