GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 9/21/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vancouver FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Valour are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Vancouver FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver FC hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Canadian Premier League, while Vancouver FC holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vancouver FC

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Vancouver FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValourLWLLL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Vancouver FCLWLLW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ValourVancouver FC
29.8Attack51.0
54.8Defence66.7
31.0Form52.9
40.8Power57.2
0.61xG1.33
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