GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 5/3/2025, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vancouver FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Valour are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Vancouver FC are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver FC hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Canadian Premier League, while Vancouver FC holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vancouver FC

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Vancouver FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValourLDLLD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Vancouver FCDDLLD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
ValourVancouver FC
29.8Attack51.0
54.8Defence66.7
31.0Form52.9
40.8Power57.2
0.61xG1.33
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