GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 8/25/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vancouver FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Valour are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Vancouver FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver FC hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Canadian Premier League, while Vancouver FC holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vancouver FC

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Vancouver FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValourWLWWD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Vancouver FCLWLLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ValourVancouver FC
29.8Attack51.0
54.8Defence66.7
31.0Form52.9
40.8Power57.2
0.61xG1.33
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