GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 10/6/2023, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Valour are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while HFX Wanderers FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and HFX Wanderers FC hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Canadian Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValourLWLLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HFX Wanderers FCWLWLD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
ValourHFX Wanderers FC
29.8Attack41.2
54.8Defence49.0
31.0Form33.3
40.8Power43.3
0.97xG1.03
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