GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 5/6/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Valour are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DDLW), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded, while HFX Wanderers FC are 0W-3D-1L in their last 4 (DDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and HFX Wanderers FC hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Canadian Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValourDDLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.25/1.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 1/4
HFX Wanderers FCDDLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 4/4O2.5 1/4
ValourHFX Wanderers FC
29.8Attack41.2
54.8Defence49.0
31.0Form33.3
40.8Power43.3
0.97xG1.03
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