GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 4/22/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlético Ottawa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Valour are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Atlético Ottawa are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlético Ottawa hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Canadian Premier League, while Atlético Ottawa holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlético Ottawa

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

Atlético Ottawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValourLW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Atlético OttawaWD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
ValourAtlético Ottawa
29.8Attack52.1
54.8Defence39.6
31.0Form50.0
40.8Power49.6
1.12xG1.33
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