GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 8/10/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlético Ottawa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Valour are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Atlético Ottawa are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlético Ottawa hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Canadian Premier League, while Atlético Ottawa holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlético Ottawa

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

Atlético Ottawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValourLWWLL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Atlético OttawaDWWDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ValourAtlético Ottawa
29.8Attack52.1
54.8Defence39.6
31.0Form50.0
40.8Power49.6
1.12xG1.33
View match centre →