GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 9/10/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlético Ottawa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Valour are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atlético Ottawa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlético Ottawa hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Canadian Premier League, while Atlético Ottawa holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlético Ottawa

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

Atlético Ottawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValourDLWLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atlético OttawaWDWLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ValourAtlético Ottawa
29.8Attack52.1
54.8Defence39.6
31.0Form50.0
40.8Power49.6
1.12xG1.33
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