GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 4/21/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Valmiera II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Valmiera II are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Beitar are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Valmiera II hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (42.9 v 37.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the 1. Liga, while Valmiera II holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Valmiera II

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

Valmiera II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Valmiera IIWL

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
BeitarLL

GF 0 · GA 7 · avg 0.00/3.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 2/2
Valmiera IIBeitar
38.5Attack54.7
48.7Defence12.0
35.9Form44.0
42.9Power37.8
2.21xG1.56
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