GGOALVIO

Latvia · Virsliga · 4/6/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Valmiera / BSS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Valmiera / BSS are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tukums are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Valmiera / BSS hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (52.5 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.3% in the Virsliga, while Valmiera / BSS holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Valmiera / BSS

Probability

55.3%

Model confidence

55.3%

Valmiera / BSS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Valmiera / BSSWLLDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
TukumsLLWWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Valmiera / BSSTukums
43.5Attack51.3
63.0Defence34.6
49.1Form25.6
52.5Power38.0
1.93xG1.00
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