GGOALVIO

Latvia · Virsliga · 3/11/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rīgas FS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Valmiera / BSS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Rīgas FS are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rīgas FS hold a 28.7-point power-rating edge (52.5 v 81.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the Virsliga, while Rīgas FS holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rīgas FS

Probability

60.3%

Model confidence

60.3%

Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Valmiera / BSSDLWDW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Rīgas FSDDWDW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Valmiera / BSSRīgas FS
43.5Attack82.7
63.0Defence77.3
49.1Form86.7
52.5Power81.2
0.71xG1.83
View match centre →