GGOALVIO

Latvia · Virsliga · 3/18/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Valmiera / BSS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Valmiera / BSS are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FK Liepaja are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Valmiera / BSS hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (52.5 v 47.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Virsliga, while Valmiera / BSS holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Valmiera / BSS

Probability

45.3%

Model confidence

45.3%

Valmiera / BSS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Valmiera / BSSDDLWD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FK LiepajaWLLWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Valmiera / BSSFK Liepaja
43.5Attack44.0
63.0Defence50.7
49.1Form45.3
52.5Power47.7
1.41xG0.89
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