Valletta FCvs
Sliema Wanderers
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 10/17/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valletta FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Valletta FC 2-1 Sliema Wanderers
Original prediction
Valletta FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 47.2% | 58.1% | 10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 29.2% | 23.8% | -5.3 pts |
| Away | 3.87 | 23.7% | 18.0% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Valletta FC
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Valletta FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80